Will Trump rename the Strait of Hormuz after himself?
1.0 pts (24h)PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlectionMiddle East6j
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Before Oct 1, 2026 3%
Qualité du marché
33 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
1,7 €
Liquidité
12,8 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
- / 2.0%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
2 sept. 26, 16:04 UTC15 sept. 26, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump rename the Strait of Hormuz?
KalshiWhen will Trump rename something else?
KalshiWill Trump rename any ocean before October?
KalshiWill Trump rename an ocean in 2026?
PolymarketWhat geographic features will Trump rename? [read description]
Manifold MarketsStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
PolymarketRègles
If Donald Trump has taken any signed executive action renaming the Strait of Hormuz after himself after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The qualifying action must be of the specific type designated (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding), be signed by the President personally during the specified time period, and explicitly address the topic in the document's operative provisions, title, or official White House summary.
- Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial proclamations without policy impact do not qualify unless specifically included.
- Actions that only incidentally mention the topic, statements without formal action, actions by cabinet members, legislative proposals without executive action, and signing statements do not qualify.
- The action must be publicly announced or documented by a Source Agency before expiration.
- The action must adopt or direct adoption of a replacement for the preexisting name Strait of Hormuz for United States official use, with Trump as an integral element of the replacement name.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Trump rename the Strait of Hormuz after himself? ?
- Kalshi cote Before Oct 1, 2026 à 3% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Trump rename the Strait of Hormuz after himself? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Trump rename the Strait of Hormuz after himself? doit être résolu le 15 septembre 2026.
- Comment Will Trump rename the Strait of Hormuz after himself? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Donald Trump has taken any signed executive action renaming the Strait of Hormuz after himself after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.