KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 99%
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
2,6 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
1.0% / 3.0%
Écart
2.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
27 août 26, 20:02 UTC1 oct. 26, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
If Donald Trump has taken any signed executive action renaming any ocean before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The qualifying action must be of the specific type designated (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding), be signed by the President personally during the specified time period, and explicitly address the topic in the document's operative provisions, title, or official White House summary.
- Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial proclamations without policy impact do not qualify unless specifically included.
- Actions that only incidentally mention the topic, statements without formal action, actions by cabinet members, legislative proposals without executive action, and signing statements do not qualify.
- The action must be publicly announced or documented by a Source Agency before expiration.
- Ocean means the Atlantic, Pacific, Indian, Arctic, or Southern Ocean.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Trump rename any ocean before October? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 99% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Trump rename any ocean before October? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Trump rename any ocean before October? doit être résolu le 1 octobre 2026.
- Comment Will Trump rename any ocean before October? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Donald Trump has taken any signed executive action renaming any ocean before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.