Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 96%
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18
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binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
26 juin 23, 04:16 UTC1 janv. 00, 05:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Alien invasion before GTA6?
Manifold MarketsIf ASI is created and doesn't wipe out humanity, will it torture any human-level-intelligences within a year?
Manifold MarketsIf ASI is created and doesn't wipe out humanity, will it be able to survive these temperatures within a year?
Manifold MarketsWill nanotechnology wipe out humanity by 2100?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketRègles
Will extraterrestrials destroy the human race? Only counts alien species that originate from another planet, not life whose ancestry can be ultimately traced back to Earth.
- Resolves NO if humanity is still around by then.
- Otherwise, the resolution is up to the aliens.