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Données au 26 oct. 2026, 03:24 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
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Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète4 avr. 26, 03:33 UTC31 déc. 26, 02:23 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the United States lose the war against Iran?
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Between two weeks and two months after the end of the current conflict, I will create a poll reading as follows:
- "In your view, did the United States of America lose its war with Iran? You may define terms as you wish, but two clarifications are important:
- Iran does not have to have won in order for America to have lost, although Iran's victory or lack thereof may be a factor in consideration.
- Even if the war was ill conceived or foolish, it is possible to win it, and even if a war is wise or sensible it is possible to lose it.
- In other words "did America win" is a separate question to "do you think America was right to go to war".
- If there is serious argument about whether the war is ended, I will clarify that by poll .