Will Åland be an autonomous and demilitarized region of Finland until 2030?
One-OffEuropeGéopolitique3a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 89.9%
Prévisionnistes
34
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète2 janv. 24, 00:33 UTC1 janv. 30, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
When is Russia going to conquer the Donbas region.
Manifold MarketsInternational treaty limiting autonomous AI weapons before 2030?
Manifold MarketsRussian attacks or invades Finland by mid 2029
Manifold MarketsBratislava Region Governor Election Winner
PolymarketHannover Region Presidential Election Winner
PolymarketNext Regional Board Chair of Region Kalmar?
PolymarketRègles
As can be read on the Wikipedia page for Åland, it is currently
- Demilitarized
- A region of Finland
- and has been since at least 1920.
- This will resolve as YES if this continues to be true until 2030, and NO if any of these changes.
Marchés ouverts
EuropePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-3.9pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 22,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 494,6 k €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- No-3.0pt84.2%
- Yes+3.0pt15.8%
- Volume total
- 809,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 123,4 k €
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson+0.5pt77.5%
- Ulf Kristersson-1.0pt20.6%
- Jimmie Åkesson-0.4pt1%
+7 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase-0.1pt100%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
- 25 bps decrease0%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- December 3122%
- October 31+2.0pt10%
- December 31, 2025-0.1pt0%
+3 résultats de plus
- Berlin State Election Winner
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
- Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: M Vote Share?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: SD Vote Share?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: 5th Place
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Åland be an autonomous and demilitarized region of Finland until 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 90% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Åland be an autonomous and demilitarized region of Finland until 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Åland be an autonomous and demilitarized region of Finland until 2030? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2030.
- Comment Will Åland be an autonomous and demilitarized region of Finland until 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : As can be read on the Wikipedia page for Åland, it is currently