PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle25 bps increase 80%+0.5%En tête parmi 5 options
Qualite du marche
91 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
758,3 €
Liquidité
33,7 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
79.0% / 81.0%
Spread
2.5%
Spread serréVariation 7j
-7.0%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes
17 juin 26, 22:5310 sept. 26, 11:59
Tendances
0%
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
25 bps increase80%
Comparer les plateformes· 25 bps increase
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketCette pageMeilleur global | Élevée | 80% | — | 758,3 € | 33,7 k € | il y a 2 minutes | |
 Kalshi64% de correspondance · auto | Faible | 1% | — | 0 € | 132,7 € | il y a 22 minutes | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Kalshi
European Central Bank rate decision in September
1mo
1%
1%
1%
+2 résultats de plus
28 • Faible qualitéSpread inconnuFaible liquiditéMarché peu profond
Volume total132,7 €
Volume 24h0 €
KALSHIRègles
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- The resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 9-10, 2026, as listed on the official European Central Bank calendar (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html).
- This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the European Central Bank's September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
- If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
- Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$8632 juil.25j de données26 juil.
Marchés Associés
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
120,2 €No change: 59%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
34,7 €Oui: 22%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETECB rate cut in 2026?
9,7 €Oui: 13%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Who will replace Christine Lagarde at the European Central Bank?
0 €Isabel Schnabel: 98%
PREDICTIT
PREDICTIT
Will the European Union introduce a digital euro as a central bank digital currency (CBDC) before the end of 2026?
147,7 €Oui: 13.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Ecusfed 26 OCT
1,5 k €H 0: 58%ROTHERA
ROTHERAActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Europe's high regulatory bar could spark new crypto industry M&A waveCoindesk
Justin Sun’s HTX lands on EU sanctions list over alleged Russia tiesCrypto News
EU hits Russia with massive 21st sanctions package targeting $120B crypto networkCoindesk
EU widens Belarus ownership ban to all crypto service providers Cointelegraph
Kazakhstan Introduces Mining Rules That Fund a Central Bank-Backed Crypto ReserveBlockchain Reporter
Polymarket: Le Pen holds 30% in 2027 France race as reversal signal hits tapeBlockchain.NewsRègles
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- The resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 9-10, 2026, as listed on the official European Central Bank calendar (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html).
- This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the European Central Bank's September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
- If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
- Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).