PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
25 bps increase 100%En tête parmi 5 options
Qualité du marché
87 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
43,4 k €
Liquidité
155,9 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
0.1 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+0.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
17 juin 26, 22:53 UTC10 sept. 26, 11:59 UTC
Tendances
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
Polymarket🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in September 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Fed leave the rate unchanged in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExWill the Fed lower the rate 25bps in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExWill the House pass a cap on federal student loan interest rates?
KalshiWill the Reserve Bank of Australia leave the rate unchanged at the November 3, 2026 meeting? (RBA) (Interest rates) (Cash rate) (Monetary policy) (Rate hike) (Rate cut)?
ForecastExRègles
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- The resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 9-10, 2026, as listed on the official European Central Bank calendar (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html).
- This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the European Central Bank's September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
- If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
- Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).
Comparaison des sources de prévision
2 plateformes cotent actuellement ce marché. La probabilité de référence pondérée par la liquidité de CoinRithm pour 25 bps increase est de 100%. Les cotations s'écartent d'environ 1 point de pourcentage entre les plateformes extrêmes. Les plateformes ne s'accordent pas sur l'issue en tête.
Référence CoinRithm 25 bps increase 100% · 2 plateformes · 1 pt d’ecart entre venues
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — European Central Bank rate decision in September · Hike 1-25bps 95%
- Également disponible sur Limitless — ECB Interest Rates: September 2026 · 25 bps increase 98%
Marchés ouverts
Central BanksKALSHIEuropean Central Bank rate decision in September
- Hike 1-25bps+1.0pt95.2%
- Maintain current rate+1.0pt1.9%
- Hike more than 25bps1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 78,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 21 k €
POLYMARKETBank of Japan Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+0.5pt97%
- 50+ bps increase+0.7pt2%
- No change-1.3pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: October 2026
- No change-1.0pt88.1%
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt11.9%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 résultats de plus
KALSHICzech National Bank rate decision in September
- Maintain current rate94%
- Hike 25bps+28.0pt33%
- Cut 50bps2%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 41,2 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIBank of Japan rate decision in September
- Hike 25bps-1.0pt94.2%
- Hike more than 25bps+1.0pt1.9%
- Maintain current rate1.9%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- H 0+1.0pt63.3%
- H 2525.7%
- C 255.5%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 6,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September
- Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?
- Bank of England decision in September?
- Bank of Japan Decision in October?
- Fed Rate Decision (Jul 2027)
- Bank of Canada Decision in October?
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
- Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
- Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in September
- Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour ECB Interest Rates: September 2026 ?
- Polymarket cote 25 bps increase à 100% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand ECB Interest Rates: September 2026 sera-t-il résolu ?
- ECB Interest Rates: September 2026 doit être résolu le 10 septembre 2026.
- Comment ECB Interest Rates: September 2026 est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- Où ECB Interest Rates: September 2026 est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Kalshi, Limitless.