KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Hike 1-25bps 95.2%+1.0ptEn tête parmi 5 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
57 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
22,1 k €
Liquidité
74,6 k €
Liquidité élevéeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 minutes
22 juil. 26, 21:00 UTC10 sept. 26, 12:14 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
European Central Bank rate decision in December
KalshiEuropean Central Bank rate decision in October
KalshiSwiss National Bank rate decision in September
KalshiWill the EU Deposit Facilities Rate be set above 1.9% at the meeting of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank ending September, 10, 2026?
ForecastExWill the EU Deposit Facilities Rate be set above 2.65% at the meeting of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank ending October, 29, 2026?
ForecastExWill the EU Deposit Facilities Rate be set above 1.65% at the meeting of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank ending September, 10, 2026?
ForecastExRègles
If the European Central Bank takes the action of the named outcome at September ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Trading Economics
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Limitless — ECB Interest Rates: September 2026 · 25 bps increase 98%
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — ECB Interest Rates: September 2026 · 25 bps increase 100%
Marchés ouverts
Central Banks
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase100%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
- 25 bps decrease0%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 435,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 40,4 k €
POLYMARKETBank of Japan Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+0.5pt97%
- 50+ bps increase+0.7pt2%
- No change-1.3pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: October 2026
- No change-1.0pt88.1%
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt11.9%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 résultats de plus
KALSHICzech National Bank rate decision in September
- Maintain current rate94%
- Hike 25bps+28.0pt33%
- Cut 50bps2%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 41,2 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIBank of Japan rate decision in September
- Hike 25bps-1.0pt94.2%
- Hike more than 25bps+1.0pt1.9%
- Maintain current rate1.9%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- H 0+1.0pt63.3%
- H 2525.7%
- C 255.5%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 6,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September
- Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?
- Bank of England decision in September?
- Bank of Japan Decision in October?
- Fed Rate Decision (Jul 2027)
- Bank of Canada Decision in October?
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
- Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
- Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in September
- Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour European Central Bank rate decision in September ?
- Kalshi cote Hike 1-25bps à 95% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand European Central Bank rate decision in September sera-t-il résolu ?
- European Central Bank rate decision in September doit être résolu le 10 septembre 2026.
- Comment European Central Bank rate decision in September est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the European Central Bank takes the action of the named outcome at September ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Où European Central Bank rate decision in September est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Limitless, Polymarket.