KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Hike 25bps 84.8%+4.0ptEn tête parmi 5 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualite du marche
75 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
3,3 k €
Liquidité
41,7 k €
Liquidité élevéeSpread
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 24 minutes
28 juil. 26, 21:1518 sept. 26, 2:29
Tendances
Règles
If the Bank of Japan takes the action of the named outcome at the September 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Trading Economics
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Référence CoinRithm 25 bps increase 87% · 2 plateformes · bande de 11 pt
- Également disponible sur Futuur — Bank of Japan interest rate decision — September 2026 · 25 bps increase 75%
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — Bank of Japan Decision in September? · 25 bps increase 85%
Marchés ouverts
Central BanksKALSHINumber of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 5 cuts+30.0pt66%
- Exactly 4 cuts-19.0pt21.4%
- 7 or more cuts-12.0pt5.8%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 61,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 11,6 k €
POLYMARKETBank of Korea decision in August?
- 25 bps hike-6.0pt70.3%
- No Change+7.5pt29.7%
- 50+ bps cut-0.5pt0%
+2 résultats de plus
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- H 0+2.0pt63.4%
- H 25+1.0pt22.3%
- C 25+1.0pt8.9%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIWhat will Kevin Warsh say during his Jackson Hole remarks?
- Productivity+5.0pt79%
- Independent / Independence70%
- AI / Artificial Intelligence-9.0pt70%
+17 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETBank of Japan Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase85%
- No change-0.5pt14%
- 50+ bps increase+0.2pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETBank of Brazil decision in September?
- 25 bps decrease+1.6pt90%
- No Change-2.0pt10%
- 50+ bps increase0%
+2 résultats de plus
- ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
- ECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September
- Bank of England decision in September?
- Bank of Canada Decision in September?
- Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
- Bank of Japan Decision in October?
- Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in September
- Bank of Canada Decision in October?
- Bank of Korea rate decision in August
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Bank of Japan rate decision in September ?
- Kalshi cote Hike 25bps à 85% au 21 août 2026.
- Quand Bank of Japan rate decision in September sera-t-il résolu ?
- Bank of Japan rate decision in September doit être résolu le 18 septembre 2026.
- Comment Bank of Japan rate decision in September est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the Bank of Japan takes the action of the named outcome at the September 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Où Bank of Japan rate decision in September est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Futuur, Polymarket.