PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
25 bps increase 98%En tête parmi 5 options
Qualité du marché
84 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
10 k €
Liquidité
117,8 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
0.2 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-0.1 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
17 juin 26, 23:32 UTC18 sept. 26, 15:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the uncollateralized overnight call rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of Japan, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Japan, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 17-18, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Japan calendar (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
- This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Japan’s September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
- If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
- Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).
Comparaison des sources de prévision
2 plateformes cotent actuellement ce marché. La probabilité de référence pondérée par la liquidité de CoinRithm pour 25 bps increase est de 98%. Les cotations s'écartent d'environ 1 point de pourcentage entre les plateformes extrêmes. Les plateformes ne s'accordent pas sur l'issue en tête.
Référence CoinRithm 25 bps increase 98% · 2 plateformes · 1 pt d’ecart entre venues
Marchés ouverts
Central BanksPOLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase100%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
- 25 bps decrease0%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 435,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 40,4 k €
KALSHIEuropean Central Bank rate decision in September
- Hike 1-25bps+1.0pt95.2%
- Maintain current rate+1.0pt1.9%
- Hike more than 25bps1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: October 2026
- No change-1.0pt88.1%
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt11.9%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 résultats de plus
KALSHICzech National Bank rate decision in September
- Maintain current rate94%
- Hike 25bps+28.0pt33%
- Cut 50bps2%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 41,2 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIBank of Japan rate decision in September
- Hike 25bps-1.0pt94.2%
- Hike more than 25bps+1.0pt1.9%
- Maintain current rate1.9%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- H 0+1.0pt63.3%
- H 2525.7%
- C 255.5%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 6,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September
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- Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
- Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in September
- Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Bank of Japan Decision in September? ?
- Polymarket cote 25 bps increase à 98% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Bank of Japan Decision in September? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Bank of Japan Decision in September? doit être résolu le 18 septembre 2026.
- Comment Bank of Japan Decision in September? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the uncollateralized overnight call rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of Japan, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- Où Bank of Japan Decision in September? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Futuur, Kalshi.