Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 76.8%
Prévisionnistes
19
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète13 janv. 26, 17:12 UTC30 juin 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Russian attacks or invades Estonia by mid 2029
Manifold MarketsRussian attacks or invades Finland by mid 2031
Manifold MarketsRussia attacks or invades China mainland by mid 2028
Manifold MarketsChina attacks or invades Russia's territory by mid 2028
Manifold MarketsNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketRègles
Credible sources, battles or clear Russian troops on the other side of the border.
- Or, bombs them, or does drone strikes.
- Or other kinetic attacks.
- Threats leading to concessions of territory or political union would not count because it's too hard to evaluate.
- There has to be at least a shot fired.