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Données au 1 sept. 2026, 21:00 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Non 85%+0.5pt
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualité
Volume 24h
7,4 k €
Liquidité
12,2 k €
Liquidité moyenne
Achat / Vente
14.0% / 16.0%
Écart
2.0 pt
Spread serré
Commentaires
0
Variation 7j
-21.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète
13 août 26, 9:1213 sept. 26, 0:00
Tendances
Résultat24hProbabilité
Règles
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Liberals (L) receive at least one seat in the Swedish Riksdag as a result of the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections.
Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Seats will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the Liberals, officially registered as Liberalerna (L).
Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If L formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.