2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
One-OffPolitiqueÉlectionUS Politics1a
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleDemocrats, 8 to 10% 22.1%En tête parmi 10 options
Qualite du marche
77 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
5,7 k €
Liquidité
430,7 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
21.0% / 22.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 minutes
4 févr. 26, 15:003 nov. 27, 13:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Democrats, 6 to 8%22%
Comparer les plateformes· Democrats, 8 to 10%
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiCette pageMeilleur global | Élevée | 25% | — | 5,7 k € | 430,7 k € | il y a 14 minutes | |
 PredictIt87% de correspondance · vérifié | — | 25% | — | — | — | il y a 14 minutes | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur PredictIt
What will be the national vote margin in the 2026 House midterms?
8mo
25%
25%
0%
+5 résultats de plus
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITRègles
If the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S.
- House of Representatives national popular vote is between -100 and 0 percentage points, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The national House popular vote margin of victory shall be calculated as the vote percentage received by all Democratic party House candidates in the general election minus the vote percentage received by all Republican party House candidates in the general election.
- The margin will be positive if the Democratic party wins the national House popular vote and negative if they lose the national House popular vote.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Grosses transactions
$3.4k98.2%KALSHIDemocrats, 0 to 2% — No-8 j
KALSHIDemocrats, 0 to 2% — No-8 j$2.0k98.5%KALSHIDemocrats, 0 to 2% — No-8 j
KALSHIDemocrats, 0 to 2% — No-8 j$1.2k98.5%KALSHIDemocrats, 0 to 2% — No-8 j
KALSHIDemocrats, 0 to 2% — No-8 jTendance du volume
$6.5k2 juil.26j de données27 juil.
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If the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S.
- House of Representatives national popular vote is between -100 and 0 percentage points, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The national House popular vote margin of victory shall be calculated as the vote percentage received by all Democratic party House candidates in the general election minus the vote percentage received by all Republican party House candidates in the general election.
- The margin will be positive if the Democratic party wins the national House popular vote and negative if they lose the national House popular vote.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.