2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
One-OffPolitiqueÉlectionUS Politics1a
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Democrats, 8 to 10% 22.9%-1.0ptEn tête parmi 10 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
86 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
11,7 k €
Liquidité
1 M €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
4 févr. 26, 15:00 UTC3 nov. 27, 13:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
If the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote is between -100 and 0 percentage points, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:the Clerk of the House
- The national House popular vote margin of victory shall be calculated as the vote percentage received by all Democratic party House candidates in the general election minus the vote percentage received by all Republican party House candidates in the general election.
- The margin will be positive if the Democratic party wins the national House popular vote and negative if they lose the national House popular vote.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot) ?
- Kalshi cote Democrats, 8 to 10% à 23% au 12 septembre 2026.
- Quand 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot) sera-t-il résolu ?
- 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot) doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2027.
- Comment 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot) est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote is between -100 and 0 percentage points, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Où 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot) est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur PredictIt.