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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Politique
  3. 2026 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
2026 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)

2026 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)

1.0% (24h)One-OffPolitiqueÉlectionUS Politics1a
KalshiKalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Republicans win
Republicans win 15%-1.0%
En tête parmi 10 options
Qualite du marche

60 / 100

Qualité moyenne
Volume 24h

162 €

Liquidité

3 k €

Liquidité moyenne
Achat / Vente

14.0% / 15.0%

Spread

7.1%

Spread modéré
Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes

4 févr. 26, 15:003 nov. 27, 13:59

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Republicans win15%

PolymarketÉgalement disponible sur Polymarket

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

6.0%4mo
Other
Other
46%
Democrats 8-10%
Democrats 8-10%
-0.5%19%
Democrats 6-8%
Democrats 6-8%
+6.0%18%

+11 résultats de plus

89 • Haute qualitéSpread modéréLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total53,1 k €
Volume 24h9 k €
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Règles

If the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S.

Kalshi
  • House of Representatives national popular vote is between -100 and 0 percentage points, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • The national House popular vote margin of victory shall be calculated as the vote percentage received by all Democratic party House candidates in the general election minus the vote percentage received by all Republican party House candidates in the general election.
  • The margin will be positive if the Democratic party wins the national House popular vote and negative if they lose the national House popular vote.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
  • No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.

Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.

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Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$62,639.39+1.81%EthereumETH$1,653.29+1.25%SolanaSOL$64.95+0.97%DogecoinDOGE$0.0847+1.12%XRPXRP$1.11+0.07%BNBBNB$595.91+1.54%

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Règles

If the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S.

Kalshi
  • House of Representatives national popular vote is between -100 and 0 percentage points, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • The national House popular vote margin of victory shall be calculated as the vote percentage received by all Democratic party House candidates in the general election minus the vote percentage received by all Republican party House candidates in the general election.
  • The margin will be positive if the Democratic party wins the national House popular vote and negative if they lose the national House popular vote.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
  • No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.