Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 67%
Non 67%Prévisionnistes
27
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète7 juil. 24, 03:56 UTC1 janv. 30, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which arrives first: a quantum computer that can break RSA-2048, or an autonomous AI math researcher?
Manifold MarketsWill the United States Air Force integrate an autonomous, AI-controlled fighter jet, like Lockheed's VISTA X-62, into their active service fleet by 2040?
Manifold MarketsWhen will a cloud provider attribute an incident resolution to an autonomous AI agent
Manifold MarketsWhat will happen in 2026 related to AI?
Manifold MarketsGreenland changes and development multi market, all due June 30 2028
Manifold MarketsWhat will happen in the world throughout the 2020s
Manifold MarketsRègles
Nuclear weapons don’t count.
- Signatory countries must total at least 20% of world gdp.
- I won’t bet on this market.
