Will a military conflict break out between Russia and Kazakhstan in the next five years?
One-OffGéopolitiqueRussie / Ukraine11mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 83.7%
Prévisionnistes
18
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 22 heures
Obsolète4 oct. 22, 16:29 UTC11 oct. 27, 17:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
I am living in Kazakhstan and have heard the belief expressed that Russia might try to take the northern parts of Kazakhstan (which contain large numbers of ethnic Russians).
- Resolved positively if Russia takes or attempts to take any part of what is now Kazakhstan or if a military conflict breaks out for any other reason.
- I made this about 3 years ago now so the final date is 2027.
- Not 5 years from now.
- On the closing date.
