Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleTony Blair (former UK Prime Minister) 100%En tête parmi 27 options
Prévisionnistes
38
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 heures
Obsolète20 janv. 26, 04:29 UTC31 déc. 26, 04:11 UTC
Tendances
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Israel agree to the Board of Peace Gaza plan in 2026?
Manifold MarketsMembers of the legislature (congress, parliament) in a country come to blows this year? mega-market
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will join NATO as members in 2026?
FutuurWill any of the UN’s Security Council permanent members leave the Non-Proliferation Treaty by the end of 2026?
FutuurNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
PolymarketRussia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Described by Trump as the “the Greatest and Most Prestigious Board ever assembled,”
- Resolution Criteria
- The Board of Peace has a multi-level structure with a main Board set to be composed mainly of country leaders, with about 60 countries invited as per January 20, 2026.
- Answers resolves continuously based on official communications regarding individuals that start actively holding formal seats on the main Board of Peace (not to be confused with the Gaza executive board)..
- Supporting roles below the top level, like those held by the Aryeh Lightstone and Josh Gruenbaum, do not count for this market.
- Possible resolution sources:
Marchés ouverts
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 22,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 581,3 k €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-12.5pt69%
- September 18-14.5pt62%
- September 11-17.5pt51%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt8%
- September 30+0.4pt2%
- July 310%
+7 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Volume total
- 55,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 96,8 k €
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Members of the Board of Peace? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Tony Blair (former UK Prime Minister) à 100% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Members of the Board of Peace? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Members of the Board of Peace? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Members of the Board of Peace? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Described by Trump as the “the Greatest and Most Prestigious Board ever assembled,”