Will Israel agree to the Board of Peace Gaza plan in 2026?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineMoyen-Orient2mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 82.5%
Prévisionnistes
10
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 minutes
8 août 26, 04:13 UTC5 janv. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
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PolymarketRègles
On July 30, 2026, the Board of Peace announced "A Roadmap for Completing the Implementation of President Trump's Comprehensive Peace Plan in Gaza" (the "Board of Peace roadmap"), setting out a phased process for disarmament in and Israeli withdrawal from the Gaza Strip.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces that it has accepted or does accept this roadmap by December 31 11:59 PM, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Israel's acceptance of a plan described by a consensus of credible reporting as a revised or successor agreement to the initial roadmap (e.g., the implementation mechanism described in the roadmap) will qualify.
- A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of Israel's acceptance of or commitment to this roadmap or a qualifying successor agreement.
- A qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify the Board of Peace roadmap or a successor agreement.
