Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 25 oct. 2026, 20:15 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleUkraine 40.9%En tête parmi 9 options
Prévisionnistes
31
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète7 mars 24, 17:06 UTC30 juin 30, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will a new country join NATO before 1 January 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
PolymarketWill a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?
PolymarketWill a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
PolymarketWhich country will be the next to join the European Union?
Manifold MarketsWill the next country to join the European Union be Montenegro?
Manifold MarketsRègles
On 7th March, Sweden became the 32nd member of NATO.
- Who will be the next country to join NATO?
- The market will resolve to the next country who completes the joining process and formally becomes a NATO member.
- If multiple countries are inducted on the same date I will attempt to resolve this to the first one to formally become a member but if they are inducted at once it will resolve equally to all of them.
- If a country leaves NATO and then joins again, that will count as joining for the purposes of this market.
- Feel free to add more options to the market, but it will only resolve to the name of a country, so an answer like “a country in Asia” will not be selected.