Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleTechnocratic committee, not elected, internationally supervised 32.9%En tête parmi 19 options
Prévisionnistes
230
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète2 nov. 23, 18:19 UTC9 nov. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
0.5%
0.4%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the USA be given control of the Gaza Strip by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza?
Manifold MarketsWill the ICJ determine that Israel committed war crimes in Gaza?
Manifold MarketsForeign intervention in Gaza by which date?
PolymarketU.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
PolymarketWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketRègles
An the named outcome includes troops from the West and some other geopolitical area - eg China, Middle East or Africa.
Marchés ouverts
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 22,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 470,8 k €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volume total
- 35,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 100,1 k €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour After 6 months without open warfare, who will be in control of Gaza? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Technocratic committee, not elected, internationally supervised à 33% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand After 6 months without open warfare, who will be in control of Gaza? sera-t-il résolu ?
- After 6 months without open warfare, who will be in control of Gaza? doit être résolu le 9 novembre 2027.
- Comment After 6 months without open warfare, who will be in control of Gaza? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : An the named outcome includes troops from the West and some other geopolitical area - eg China, Middle East or Africa.