Which words will Trump say out loud between midterm election night (Nov 3, 7 PM ET) and Nov 5, 2026?
Politique commercialeOne-OffPolitiquePolitique américaineÉlectionÉlections de mi-mandat américaines 202615j
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleRigged 66.2%En tête parmi 10 options
Prévisionnistes
1
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+16.2 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète19 oct. 26, 22:08 UTC6 nov. 26, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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KalshiRègles
Which of these words or phrases will Donald Trump say out loud in public between 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, November 3, 2026 (midterm election night) and 11:59 PM ET on Thursday, November 5, 2026? Each answer resolves independently: YES if Trump says it at least once in the window, NO otherwise. **What counts:** spoken public remarks by Trump himself — speeches, press conferences, press gaggles, interviews, recorded video addresses, and remarks at public events.
- Reading a quote aloud counts. **Truth Social posts, written statements, and words spoken by other people do NOT count.** **Matching:** the exact word or phrase, case-insensitive.
- Plurals and possessives count ("tariffs" counts for "Tariff", "Biden's" counts for "Biden").
- Other forms do not ("rigging" does not count for "Rigged"; "golden" alone does not count for "the named outcome"). "the named outcome" must be said as that two-word phrase. **Resolution source:** transcripts on Roll Call Factba.se (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/), checked against video when a transcript is missing or disputed (White House YouTube / C-SPAN).
- If Trump makes no spoken public remarks at all in the window, every answer resolves NO.
- I'll resolve once Factba.se has transcripts for the whole window, normally within a few days.