PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 91.1%
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
8 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
8.0% / 9.0%
Écart
1.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
17 sept. 26, 18:12 UTC31 déc. 28, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Canada applies for full EU membership by which date?
PolymarketWill penalties for NATO countries not meeting the 2% of GDP spending target be put in place before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill an economic union be formed between the CANZUK nations before 2045?
Manifold MarketsCanada becomes EU Associate Member by which date?
PolymarketWill the United States impose additional tariffs on EU by December 31, 2026?
ForecastExRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Canada has officially been admitted to join the European Union as a full member state at any point by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Canada will be considered to have officially been admitted to join the European Union as a full member state on the date that all required parties and EU member-states have signed and ratified an accession treaty or other legally binding instrument admitting Canada as a member state of the European Union.
- Membership subject to opt-outs, derogations, or transition periods on specific EU policies will qualify, provided Canada is admitted as a member state of the European Union under a signed and ratified accession treaty.
- Associate membership, the proposed "Alliance for the Future", and any other associate, partner, or affiliate status short of full membership will not qualify.
- Candidate status, the opening or conclusion of accession negotiations, and any other stage of the accession process short of a signed and ratified accession treaty will not qualify.
Marchés ouverts
Trade Policy
KALSHIRhode Island average residential electricity price in 2026
- Above 28.0¢/kWh-5.0pt91%
- Above 28.5¢/kWh+3.0pt88%
- Above 29.0¢/kWh-1.0pt76%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 48,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 10,7 k €
KALSHIHow much will the US acquire Greenland for?
- $0 / No Acquisition+0.9pt80.5%
- $10 billion to $99 billion+3.5pt4.4%
- $600 billion to $899 billion+3.0pt4.4%
+5 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31-1.0pt26%
- October 31-2.0pt12%
- September 30-0.9pt3%
+3 résultats de plus
KALSHITraffic through the Suez Canal? (9/14 - 9/20)
- Above 26086%
- Above 27078%
- Above 280-13.0pt72%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 6,8 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHITraffic through the Panama Canal? (9/14 - 9/20)
- Above 175+1.0pt96%
- Above 20065%
- Above 2252%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 36,3 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHITraffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/14 - 9/20)
- Above 150+13.0pt78%
- Above 175+4.0pt34%
- Above 20010%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
- Traffic through the Panama Canal? (9/21 - 9/27)
- US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?
- Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
- Trump meets with Mark Carney by which date?
- US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
- What will Nike say during their next earnings call?
- Will the Supreme Court hear a case on Trump's tariffs in 2026?
- Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?
- Trump announces Canada tariff decrease by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Canada admitted to the EU before 2029? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 91% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand Canada admitted to the EU before 2029? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Canada admitted to the EU before 2029? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2028.
- Comment Canada admitted to the EU before 2029? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if Canada has officially been admitted to join the European Union as a full member state at any point by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.