Which states will report local cases in the May 2026 Ebola Bundibugyo outbreak
16.5 pts (24h)Health & MedicineOne-OffGéopolitiqueScience1moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleAny EU country 100%En tête parmi 12 options
Prévisionnistes
10
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
-16.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 minutes
19 mai 26, 09:46 UTC30 oct. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
100%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will there be more than 100 cases of ebola in the US in 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow many Bundibugyo ebolavirus deaths by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill WHO classify the current hantavirus outbreak as a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsEbola pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketWhich countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
KalshiWhich countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?
KalshiRègles
Outbreak currently in DR Congo and Uganda.
- States resolve YES when their health authorities or WHO reports a local case and resolve NO when the outbreak is declared over by WHO / Africa CDC.
- People who are transferred with a suspected or confirmed infection for treatment to another state under medical supervision are excluded (e.g. western states repatriating their infected citizens does not resolve, a person travelling who is already infected but without being already suspected and is diagnosed in their destination does resolve)
- Cases confirmed to be from a different outbreak do not count.
- Some background: https://www.science.org/content/article/scientists-play-catch-startling-ebola-outbreak