Which states will report local cases in the May 2026 Ebola Bundibugyo outbreak
Health & MedicineOne-OffGéopolitiqueScience4jManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleSouth Sudan 67.3%En tête parmi 12 options
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 21 minutes
19 mai 26, 9:4630 juil. 26, 23:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
South Sudan67%
Tendance du volume
$1017 juil.2j de données18 juil.
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Outbreak currently in DR Congo and Uganda.
- States resolve YES when their health authorities or WHO reports a local case and resolve NO when the outbreak is declared over by WHO / Africa CDC.
- People who are transferred with a suspected or confirmed infection for treatment to another state under medical supervision are excluded (e.g. western states repatriating their infected citizens does not resolve, a person travelling who is already infected but without being already suspected and is diagnosed in their destination does resolve)
- Cases confirmed to be from a different outbreak do not count.
- Some background: https://www.science.org/content/article/scientists-play-catch-startling-ebola-outbreak