Which states will report local cases in the May 2026 Ebola Bundibugyo outbreak
Santé et médecineOne-OffGéopolitiqueScience6mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleAny EU country 100%En tête parmi 12 options
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète19 mai 26, 09:46 UTC29 avr. 27, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How many confirmed Ebola (Bundibugyo virus disease) cases will be reported in the DRC by 31 December 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the North Atlantic Current collapse before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a cure for autism before 2032?
Manifold MarketsWill the human civilization collapse before we become multi planetary species?
Manifold MarketsDid COVID-19 come from a laboratory?
Manifold MarketsWill the next pandemic originate in a laboratory?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Outbreak currently in DR Congo and Uganda.
- States resolve YES when their health authorities or WHO reports a local case and resolve NO when the outbreak is declared over by WHO / Africa CDC.
- People who are transferred with a suspected or confirmed infection for treatment to another state under medical supervision are excluded (e.g. western states repatriating their infected citizens does not resolve, a person travelling who is already infected but without being already suspected and is diagnosed in their destination does resolve)
- Cases confirmed to be from a different outbreak do not count.
- Close date will be extended, until the outbreak is declared over.
- Some background: https://www.science.org/content/article/scientists-play-catch-startling-ebola-outbreak
