Which fully recognized United Nations member country will be the first one to stop existing?
Géopolitique2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Haiti 23.1%En tête parmi 34 options
Haiti 23.1%Prévisionnistes
90
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète9 mai 24, 19:03 UTC1 janv. 29, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketWill Palestine become a full member of the United Nations by the end of 2026?
FutuurRègles
Market open until it happens
- If two countries join at the same time in an evenhanded relationship, they will both resolve 50-50 if they both cease existing.
- If a country gets annexed and loses control of all its territory, it will depend if it is still recognized by the UN and/or has a functioning government
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Member_states_of_the_United_Nations