Prévision communautaire actuelle
United States of America 53.7%En tête parmi 20 options
United States of America 53.7%Prévisionnistes
84
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète10 janv. 24, 10:07 UTC31 oct. 32, 18:29 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
On which year will China first land a person on the Moon?
Manifold MarketsArtemis III flown with a crewed landing? x Will China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon?
Manifold MarketsWill China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon?
Manifold MarketsWill NASA land a person on the moon before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran and Oman announce a permanent Hormuz shipping scheme by October 31?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump nationalize SpaceX?
KalshiRègles
If there's a mission with more than 1 person from more than 1 country, the market will consider which of them first step on the surface of our moon.
- If that person holds multiple countries' citizenship, then it resolves to whatever country's space organization sent that person.
- If even that is ambiguous, in case of a joint/collaborative effort, then it resolves to the birth country of that person.
- By landing, it is meant that the person is alive after landing.
- It will not count if there's an explosion upon touchdown and the person dies, for example.
- It does not have to be a perfect landing.
