Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 60%
Prévisionnistes
84
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 48 minutes
En retard29 mai 23, 14:06 UTC1 janv. 35, 15:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Artemis III flown with a crewed landing? x Will China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon?
Manifold MarketsTrump Wins 2024 Presidential Election x China Lands a Person on the Moon before the US Can Return to the Moon
Manifold MarketsOn which year will China first land a person on the Moon?
Manifold MarketsWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
PolymarketXi Jinping out before 2027?
PolymarketWhich country would land the next person on the moon?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Basically who is first to the moon excluding the Apollo landings.
Marchés ouverts
Space
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No74.1%
- Yes25.9%
- Volume total
- 303,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 298,8 k €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic-0.3pt97%
- Google2%
- OpenAI1%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 46,8 k €
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 202864%
- Before May 1, 2027+4.0pt54%
- Before Apr 1, 2027+1.0pt44%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- SpaceX+3.5pt51.5%
- Anthropic-3.7pt47.5%
- OpenAI+0.1pt1%
+9 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Hodge Conjecture-2.0pt40.6%
- Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer-1.0pt36.6%
- No solution by Dec 31, 2027+1.0pt16.8%
+3 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic+3.0pt85.2%
- Google-1.8pt6.9%
- OpenAI-1.9pt5.9%
+18 résultats de plus
- Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- How many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- #3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of September?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 60% au 14 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2035.
- Comment Will China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Basically who is first to the moon excluding the Apollo landings.