Prévision communautaire actuelle
2030 33.9%En tête parmi 8 options
Prévisionnistes
28
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète10 déc. 23, 06:11 UTC23 oct. 50, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
0.5%
0.1%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Artemis III flown with a crewed landing? x Will China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon?
Manifold MarketsWill China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon?
Manifold MarketsWhich country would land the next person on the moon?
Manifold MarketsWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiWill Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?
KalshiRègles
Resolves to the year that China first successfully lands a person on the Moon.
Marchés ouverts
Space
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No74.1%
- Yes25.9%
- Volume total
- 303,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 298,8 k €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic-0.3pt97%
- Google2%
- OpenAI1%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 46,8 k €
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 202864%
- Before May 1, 2027+4.0pt54%
- Before Apr 1, 2027+1.0pt44%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- SpaceX+3.5pt51.5%
- Anthropic-3.7pt47.5%
- OpenAI+0.1pt1%
+9 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Hodge Conjecture-2.0pt40.6%
- Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer-1.0pt36.6%
- No solution by Dec 31, 2027+1.0pt16.8%
+3 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic+3.0pt85.2%
- Google-1.8pt6.9%
- OpenAI-1.9pt5.9%
+18 résultats de plus
- Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- How many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- #3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of September?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour On which year will China first land a person on the Moon? ?
- Manifold Markets cote 2030 à 34% au 14 septembre 2026.
- Quand On which year will China first land a person on the Moon? sera-t-il résolu ?
- On which year will China first land a person on the Moon? doit être résolu le 23 octobre 2050.
- Comment On which year will China first land a person on the Moon? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves to the year that China first successfully lands a person on the Moon.