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Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
27 févr. 24, 17:13 UTC2 janv. 00, 04:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will we discover evidence for the past or present life on Mars before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill we discover evidence for the past or present life on Mars?
Manifold MarketsWill signs of past or present life be found on the Jovian moon Europa by 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill there be scientific consensus of the existence of silicon based forms of extraterrestrial life by the end of 2060?
Manifold MarketsWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiRègles
Life must originate before 1971 (can't have arrived via a human prope, though panspermia by other means still qualifies).
- Resolves with whatever manifold considers scientific consensus in 2100 - the equivalent of today’s "resolves with wikipedia".