Which of these countries will have regions declare and gain recognised independence by the end of 2030?
Russie / UkraineOne-OffChine4aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 25 oct. 2026, 13:45 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleOther 39.5%En tête parmi 9 options
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27
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète23 sept. 23, 10:14 UTC31 déc. 30, 21:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which of these countries will have regions declare and gain recognised independence by the end of 2050?
Manifold MarketsWhich of these countries will have regions declare and gain recognised independence by the end of 2100?
Manifold MarketsWhich Russian regions will hold referendums and declare independence from the Russian Federation by 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill Japan gain de facto control of Shikotan island (one of the Kuril islands) from Russia before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia recognize the independence of Transnistria in 2026?
FutuurNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve at the end of 2030 based on available data and verifiable sources when the following conditions are set for a country:
- A distinct region within the country must declare and gain its independence.
- At least one other sovereign nation must officially recognize the independence of this region.
- The declaration and recognition must occur before the end of 2030.
- Market for 2050: https://manifold.markets/FlorinSays/which-countries-will-have-regions-d-815607ddcd13
- Market for 2100: https://manifold.markets/FlorinSays/which-countries-will-have-regions-d-8684478bf61d