FutuurVérifier la disponibilitéDonnées de résolution vérifiéesProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 88%
Non 88%Qualité du marché
33 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
1 k €
Faible liquiditéTraders
6
Commentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
Tendances
Règles
This event predicts whether the Russian Federation will formally recognize Transnistria as an independent sovereign state at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official statements or decrees issued by the Russian government recognizing Transnistria’s independence.
- If Russia officially declares recognition of Transnistria as an independent state during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Conditional recognition or statements short of formal recognition may require intent-based assessment by Futuur.
- If official Russian statements are ambiguous, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major international news organizations.
