Which of these countries will have regions declare and gain recognised independence by the end of 2100?
Russie / UkraineOne-OffChineManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 25 oct. 2026, 19:26 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleRussian Federation 44.3%En tête parmi 9 options
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 19 heures
Obsolète23 sept. 23, 10:15 UTC31 déc. 00, 21:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
This market will resolve at the end of 2100 based on available data and verifiable sources when the following conditions are set for a country:
- A distinct region within the country must declare and gain its independence.
- At least one other sovereign nation must officially recognize the independence of this region.
- The declaration and recognition must occur before the end of 2100.
- Market for 2030: https://manifold.markets/FlorinSays/which-countries-will-have-regions-d
- Market for 2100: https://manifold.markets/FlorinSays/which-countries-will-have-regions-d-8684478bf61d
