Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleCroatia 87.9%En tête parmi 11 options
Prévisionnistes
40
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète22 avr. 24, 03:02 UTC30 juin 27, 13:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which countries in Europe will reestablish conscription by 2030? 🪖🇪🇺
Manifold MarketsWill the UK government pass legislation introducing conscription for military service before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill there be "compulsory genital inspection regime" in the USA by the end of Trump's term?
Manifold MarketsWill the US announce the withdrawal of at least half of its troops from Europe by the end of 2026?
FutuurWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Because of increasing tensions with Russia and the war in Ukraine, many european contries are discussing reviving compulsory military service.
- Currently AFAIK, these countries in Europe practice conscription: Austria, Estonia, Denmark (extended to women in March 2024), Finland, Greece, Latvia (reinstated in 2023), Lithuania (reinstated in 2015), Norway, Sweden (reinstated in 2018), Switzerland and Ukraine.
- Please feel free to add your answers here, it should be a country that's in Europe and currently does not have compulsory military service.
- Source of truth will be trustworthy news or Wikipedia.
Marchés ouverts
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+2.0pt76%
- New People (NL)-1.7pt20%
- Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)-0.1pt2%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 27,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 865,3 k €
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.5pt96%
- Yes+0.5pt4%
- Volume total
- 36,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 466,5 k €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-1.1pt54.5%
- October 31-3.5pt30.9%
- September 30-2.0pt11.8%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31-1.0pt21%
- October 31-4.5pt13%
- September 30-1.6pt4%
+9 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No83.2%
- Yes16.8%
- Volume total
- 58 M €
- Volume 24h
- 136,9 k €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 résultats de plus
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Which leaders will leave office in 2026?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which countries in Europe will switch to compulsory military service (2027)? ?
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- Quand Which countries in Europe will switch to compulsory military service (2027)? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which countries in Europe will switch to compulsory military service (2027)? doit être résolu le 30 juin 2027.
- Comment Which countries in Europe will switch to compulsory military service (2027)? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Because of increasing tensions with Russia and the war in Ukraine, many european contries are discussing reviving compulsory military service.