Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleBefore 2050 71.2%En tête parmi 8 options
Prévisionnistes
29
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète3 janv. 26, 07:09 UTC31 déc. 50, 12:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall by 2030?
Manifold MarketsIf the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran falls by 2030, will Reza Pahlavi lead the new government a year later?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran cease to be an Islamic Republic by EOY 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill Bangladesh turn into an Islamic Republic by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran no longer be an Islamic Republic by the end of 2026?
FutuurUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves based on the date when Wikipedia says the Islamic republic of Iran ends.
- May also resolve if there are substantial internal reforms that do not end the government but transform it substantially away from its current form.
- There must be an entry in the "Formation" section of Iran's Wikipedia page for this to count:
