Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleQ4 2026 47.9%+30.4ptEn tête parmi 14 options
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+30.4 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
20 sept. 26, 21:12 UTC1 janv. 30, 08:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
When will Safe Superintelligence Inc. (SSI) announce thier first model? Resolves to the date of the official announcement on https://ssi.inc/updates.
- Only one answer resolves YES.
- Quarters are defined as follows:
- Q1: January 1 – March 31
- Q2: April 1 – June 30
- Q3: July 1 – September 30
Marchés ouverts
AI
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+1.2pt69.2%
- ChatGPT+1.6pt14.4%
- Gemini-1.3pt9.6%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 10,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 125,4 k €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+9.0pt78%
- December 15,+9.5pt74%
- November 30,+4.0pt54%
+7 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 202791%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt89%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-1.0pt82%
+9 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,9 M €
POLYMARKETNext Claude Opus released on?
- September 21+61.1pt87.9%
- No release by September 30-10.7pt4%
- September 22-26.9pt1%
+13 résultats de plus
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude92.5%
- ChatGPT0.9%
- Amazon Nova0.9%
+6 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 156,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 26,1 k €
POLYMARKETWill OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by which date?
- December-13.0pt28%
- October-14.0pt7%
- December 31, 2025-0.2pt0%
+1 résultats de plus
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Next Claude Opus released by which date?
- U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- Stanley Cup Finals Winner
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When will SSI announce a model? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Q4 2026 à 48% au 21 septembre 2026.
- Quand When will SSI announce a model? sera-t-il résolu ?
- When will SSI announce a model? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2030.
- Comment When will SSI announce a model? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : When will Safe Superintelligence Inc. (SSI) announce thier first model? Resolves to the date of the official announcement on https://ssi.inc/updates.