KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Claude 17%En tête parmi 8 options
Qualité du marché
63 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
85,5 €
Liquidité
60,3 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 minutes
10 févr. 26, 01:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?
PolymarketNext Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?
PolymarketThird-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
PolymarketWill a Russian-developed LLM reach the top 100 on LMSYS Chatbot Arena by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiBest AI in Sep 2026?
KalshiRègles
If a model by Alibaba is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)
- If a model by Google is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a model by OpenAI is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a model by Anthropic is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a model by xAI is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a model by Moonshot AI is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-11.0pt62.4%
- 2027-3.5pt29.7%
- 2026-1.5pt7.9%
- Volume total
- 241,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 128 k €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt58.8%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt23.5%
- Grok+2.3pt7.8%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,1 M €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+1.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+3.0pt10%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking+1.0pt5%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 résultats de plus
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+1.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt10.2%
- Gemini+1.0pt2.8%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 349,4 k €
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- Tencent market share this week
- Anthropic market share this week
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI market share this week
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Most popular AI this week
- DeepSeek market share this week
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena? ?
- Kalshi cote Claude à 17% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If a model by Alibaba is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.