Probabilité implicite actuelle
Claude 32%-4.0%En tête parmi 8 options
Qualite du marche
44 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
3,4 €
Liquidité
425,6 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
31.0% / 32.0%
Spread
3.2%
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
10 févr. 26, 1:001 janv. 27, 15:00
Tendances
Résultat choisi
Claude32%
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
2.5%6mo
+2.5%70%
-8.0%22%
-0.2%5%
+29 résultats de plus
80 • Haute qualitéSpread modéréLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total67 k €
Volume 24h984,1 €
POLYMARKETRègles
If a model by Alibaba is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a model by Google is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a model by OpenAI is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a model by Anthropic is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a model by xAI is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a model by Moonshot AI is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Marchés Associés
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64,8 €2025: 0.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
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Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
34,3 €OpenAI: 31%KALSHI
KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
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Nvidia expands South Korean AI partnerships across chips, cloud, and robotics Crypto NewsRègles
If a model by Alibaba is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a model by Google is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a model by OpenAI is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a model by Anthropic is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a model by xAI is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a model by Moonshot AI is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.