Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 93.3%
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète8 août 26, 07:13 UTC1 janv. 28, 05:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
When will SSI announce a model?
Manifold MarketsWill there be any Chinese Fable-level models by March 2027, defined as a model with an ECI score of 160 or higher?
Manifold MarketsNext Prime Minister of Romania?
PolymarketFIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Winner
Kalshi46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament Winner
PolymarketWhich parties will be in next Swedish Government?
PolymarketRègles
Codename: SSITOP
- Resolves YES if a model produced by Safe Superintelligence (SSI), released before January 1, 2028, holds the #1 general Epoch Capabilities Index (ECI) score at any moment.
- Even briefly holding first place counts.
- Epoch’s displayed central general-ECI estimates control; confidence bounds and domain-specific scores do not.
- The qualifying score must appear by April 30, 2028.
- If Epoch disappears, MNX will use the closest credible successor ranking.
Marchés ouverts
SportsKALSHI2027 Pro Football Champion
- Buffalo+1.0pt11.2%
- Los Angeles R11.2%
- San Francisco+1.0pt7.8%
+29 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 111,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 7 M €
KALSHIAstakhova vs Linette
- Darya Astakhova99%
- Magda Linette1%
- Volume total
- 2,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 2,3 M €
KALSHINY Giants vs LA Rams
- Los Angeles R+1.0pt72.5%
- New York G+1.0pt27.4%
- Volume total
- 3,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 2 M €
KALSHIMVP Winner?
- Josh Allen+3.0pt28%
- Brock Purdy+11.0pt17%
- Joe Burrow+4.0pt9%
+44 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 19,2 M €
POLYMARKETDota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
- Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?100%
- Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?99%
- Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?76%
+35 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,3 M €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Nflgame 26 SEP 20 Lvlac
- LV+27.0pt53.9%
- LAC-26.0pt46.1%
- Volume total
- 1,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,1 M €
- Nflgame 26 SEP 20 Miasf
- Aguilar Cardozo vs Dickerson
- Pro Football: 2027 Champion
- New York G vs Los Angeles R: Spread
- MLB: Atlanta Braves vs Houston Astros (Sep 20, 2026)
- Nflgame 26 SEP 20 Seaari
- Nflspread 26 SEP 20 Miasf
- Nflspread 26 SEP 20 Jaxden
- UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- New York G vs Los Angeles R: Touchdowns
- Pro Baseball Champion
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour SSI Top: SSI model #1 on ECI before 2028? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 93% au 21 septembre 2026.
- Quand SSI Top: SSI model #1 on ECI before 2028? sera-t-il résolu ?
- SSI Top: SSI model #1 on ECI before 2028? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2028.
- Comment SSI Top: SSI model #1 on ECI before 2028? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Codename: SSITOP