When, if ever before 2060, will a long-term suspended animation procedure on humans be developed and shown reliable?
One-OffScienceSanté et médecine
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Later than 2059 or never (question will close in 2060) 70.6%En tête parmi 8 options
Later than 2059 or never (question will close in 2060) 70.6%Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
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Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète9 janv. 24, 04:09 UTC2 janv. 60, 07:59 UTC
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Suspended animation in humans involves a state where biological processes are dramatically slowed or halted for an extended period, allowing for storage with a known method for reanimation at the end of the procedure.
- Suspended animation differs significantly from current cryonics and other structural brain preservation methods, which do not have a known method for reversibility at the time of preservation.
- A potential method for achieving suspended animation could be advanced whole-body vitrification, where perfused cryoprotectants are used to prevent ice damage with minimal cryoprotectant toxicity.
- The key challenge is to achieve this without substantial side effects, ensuring that individuals retain their cognitive abilities, long-term memories, personality traits, and typical motor functions upon revival.
- This technology must demonstrated be through a scientific research publication prior to 2060, describing successful and reliable reanimation in at least three human participants, not solely extrapolated from results in other species.
- The publication requires peer review, either pre-publication or post-publication by at least one scientist who has reviewed the publication in-depth.
