Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleWill take France but ultimately be defeated 68.2%En tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+0.1 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète18 oct. 26, 13:33 UTC10 nov. 26, 22:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to the single option that accurately describes the outcome of Matt's 3rd campaign/playthrough as Germany once the game concludes or reaches a decisive end state.
- the named outcome: Resolves YES if Germany fails to capitulate/conquer France primarily due to Callum's Royal Air Force (RAF) interception, air superiority, or defense preventing the invasion.
- the named outcome: Resolves YES if Germany successfully captures or capitulates France, but the Axis/German side is ultimately defeated before winning the game.
- the named outcome: Resolves YES if Matt achieves a recognized victory condition for Germany/the Axis according to the rules of the game being played.
- Draw: Resolves YES if the players mutually agree to a stalemate or the game engine/rules formally designate the match as a draw.