Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Other 20.7%En tête parmi 14 options
Other 20.7%Prévisionnistes
19
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète5 oct. 24, 00:34 UTC1 janv. 32, 05:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Palau win an Olympic medal before a nuclear weapon is used in combat?
Manifold MarketsNuclear weapon used offensively in 2026
Manifold MarketsWill a nuclear weapon be used in a war by the end of this decade?
Manifold MarketsA nuclear weapon is used in any conflict before January 1, 2029
Manifold MarketsNew nuclear weapon tests in 2026?
FutuurUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves to what country gets hit by the next nuclear weapon used in combat, using internationally recognized borders (so e.g. Crimea would count as Ukraine)
