Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 18 juin 2026, 23:24 UTC · politique pm-quality-2
Prévision communautaire actuelleMay 31 0%En tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 23 jours
Obsolète20 mai 26, 19:0331 déc. 26, 23:59
Tendances
0%
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
June 302%
Comparer les plateformes· December 31
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMeilleur global93% de correspondance · auto | Moyenne | 12% | — | 15,9 k € | 183,4 k € | il y a 4 minutes | Ouvrir → |
| Manifold MarketsCette page | — | 12% | — | — | — | il y a 23 jours |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
1.0%5mo
+1.0%12%
+1.5%7%
+0.1%1%
+4 résultats de plus
73 • Qualité moyenneSpread largeLiquidité élevée
Volume total24,9 M €
Volume 24h15,9 k €
POLYMARKETRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by the listed date.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- “Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere.
- Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.
- Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by the listed date.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- “Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere.
- Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.
- Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.