Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleDecember 31 4%En tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
13
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
-3.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard20 mai 26, 19:03 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by which date?
PolymarketIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by end of 2026
Manifold MarketsWill the US acquire any new territory?
KalshiWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiWill there be a warning shot before October 20, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by the listed date.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- “Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere.
- Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.
- Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.