Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by end of 2026
Matières premièresOne-OffMoyen-OrientGéopolitique2mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 15 oct. 2026, 12:57 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleNon 92%
Prévisionnistes
18
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète25 mai 26, 01:53 UTC1 janv. 27, 05:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by which date?
PolymarketIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
PolymarketIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by October 31?
PolymarketWill uranium spot price (15m trailing avg, 3m lag) exceed $95/lb by Mar 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Cameco 2026 uranium production (attributable share) exceed 27.5M lbs U3O8?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolves according to https://polymarket.com/event/iran-agrees-to-surrender-enriched-uranium-stockpile-by
- Resolution criteria from Polymarket
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile by Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An official pledge by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
- An agreement by Iran to surrender any amount of its enriched uranium stockpile will count.
