Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 93.5%
Prévisionnistes
21
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète29 déc. 25, 23:10 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by which date?
PolymarketIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by which date?
PolymarketIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
PolymarketIran to agree to end uranium enrichment by ?
FutuurWill uranium spot price (15m trailing avg, 3m lag) exceed $95/lb by Mar 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Cameco 2026 uranium production (attributable share) exceed 27.5M lbs U3O8?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if Iran enriches uranium to 90% purity (weapons-grade) or higher at any point during 2026, as verified by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) or credible intelligence assessments.
- Resolution will be based on reports from the IAEA (https://www.iaea.org/), official statements from the U.S. State Department or intelligence community, or peer-reviewed analysis from established nuclear research institutions such as the Institute for Science and International Security (https://isis-online.org/).
- The market resolves NO if Iran does not achieve weapons-grade enrichment during 2026, regardless of whether it increases enrichment levels below 90%.
- As of June 2025, Iran possessed 441 kilograms of uranium enriched to 60%, which is just below weapons-grade.
- Weapons-grade uranium is enriched to 90%.
Marchés ouverts
Commodities
KALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.175099%
- Above 4.160099%
- Above 4.170099%
+26 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 395,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 395,6 k €
KALSHIFlorida gas prices tomorrow
- Above 3.910099%
- Above 3.895099%
- Above 3.900099%
+44 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 198,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 198,2 k €
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
- ↓ $90100%
+22 résultats de plus
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027-14.0pt40%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-15.0pt38%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-15.0pt32%
+7 résultats de plus
KALSHIOhio gas prices tomorrow
- Above 3.900099%
- Above 3.895099%
- Above 3.890099%
+44 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 78,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 78,5 k €
KALSHIUS gas prices this week
- Above 4.1400+25.0pt99%
- Above 4.1200+10.0pt99%
- Above 4.0800+5.0pt99%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Illinois gas prices tomorrow
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 9, 2026?
- Diesel prices tomorrow
- Brent crude oil price on September 09, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Texas gas prices tomorrow
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 11, 2026?
- How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?
- Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 8, 2026
- How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Pennsylvania gas prices tomorrow
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Iran enrich uranium to weapons grade in 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 94% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Iran enrich uranium to weapons grade in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Iran enrich uranium to weapons grade in 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will Iran enrich uranium to weapons grade in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution Criteria