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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Politique
  3. Will something CRAZY happen? [Monthly Market]
Manifold Markets

Will something CRAZY happen? [Monthly Market]

PolitiqueTechGéopolitiqueSports6mo
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSans KYC
Prévision communautaire actuelle
Manifold Markets
January 100%
En tête parmi 12 options
Prévisionnistes

143

Type de question

multiple choice

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes

2 janv. 26, 18:2931 déc. 26, 23:59

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

May3%

Règles

For each month, the option resolves YES if, during that month, there is a Google search term which spikes like crazy.

Manifold Markets
  • This is determined based on the following method:
  • On Google Trends, pick "Worldwide" and "Web Search".
  • Pick a search term that you want to check for craziness.
  • Pick "google" as the search term to compare to.
  • Look at the end-of-day scores for "google" and [term].

Marchés Associés

Manifold Markets

Will messaging apps with end-to-end encryption (like Signal) be banned in a majority of G7 nations by the end of 2030?

915,8 €
Oui: 13.2%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Will any of the below AI companies be nationalized, according to the definition in the description?

Will any of the below AI companies be nationalized, according to the definition in the description?

87,2 €
Any frontier AI company, "soft nationalization": 78.6%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

What will happen in 2026 related to AI?

69,4 €
Sam Altman will continuously be CEO of OpenAI until the end of the year.: 86.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

5,8 €
United States: 61%KalshiKALSHI
Will the US acquire any new territory?

Will the US acquire any new territory?

0,3 €
Before Jan 2027: 6%KalshiKALSHI
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

129,3 k €
United Russia (ER): 56%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Actifs dans ces sujets

SolanaSOL$68.16-4.33%BitcoinBTC$62,425.95-2.45%EthereumETH$1,687.57-3.10%DogecoinDOGE$0.0822-3.09%BNBBNB$571.73-2.95%XRPXRP$1.12-4.08%

Actualités Associées

Iran threatens Hormuz shutdown as Israel strikes put U.S. deal at riskCrypto NewsChina vows countermeasures over Taiwan tip site as Polymarket invasion odds slipBlockchain.NewsTrump Iran MOU heads to Congress as Polymarket invasion odds tick up to 12.5%Blockchain.NewsTrump rebukes Israel at G7 as Polymarket cuts Switzerland to 74.6%Blockchain.NewsHormuz reopens after U.S.-Iran deal as Polymarket puts Mbappe at 15.5%Blockchain.NewsIran signs MoU to end war as Polymarket puts Trump oil relief at 92%Blockchain.News

Règles

For each month, the option resolves YES if, during that month, there is a Google search term which spikes like crazy.

Manifold Markets
  • This is determined based on the following method:
  • On Google Trends, pick "Worldwide" and "Web Search".
  • Pick a search term that you want to check for craziness.
  • Pick "google" as the search term to compare to.
  • Look at the end-of-day scores for "google" and [term].