Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleJanuary 100%En tête parmi 12 options
Prévisionnistes
175
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
-4.7 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
2 janv. 26, 18:29 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will be in the next batch of "Stanford celebrity" caricatures at CoHo after Ochoa / Plunkett / Wolf?
Manifold MarketsWill the Trump administration sign a bilateral agreement to acquire land in Greenland by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill any of the below AI companies be nationalized, according to the definition in the description?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. publish the text of its Saudi nuclear agreement by December 31?
Manifold MarketsWill the US strike Cuba by ?
FutuurWill UEFA find FC Barcelona guilty in the Negreira case by December 31, 2027?
PolymarketRègles
For each month, the option resolves YES if, during that month, there is a Google search term which spikes like crazy.
- This is determined based on the following method:
- On Google Trends, pick "Worldwide" and "Web Search".
- Pick a search term that you want to check for craziness.
- Pick "google" as the search term to compare to.
- Look at the end-of-day scores for "google" and [term].
