Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 92%
Prévisionnistes
29
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 heures
Obsolète16 août 25, 09:06 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Ukraine win the Russo-Ukrainian War?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia win the Russo-Ukrainian War?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine win the Russo-Ukrainian War?
Manifold Markets[ACX 2026] Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
PolymarketRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
PolymarketRègles
reference UN or Wikipedia for resolution
- Resolution criteria
- Resolves YES if by 23:59:59 UTC on December 31, 2026 at least one of the following is true:
- The UN Treaty Collection (UNTS) lists a bilateral instrument between Ukraine and the Russian Federation that explicitly ends the armed conflict (e.g., “peace treaty,” “peace agreement,” or an armistice/cessation of hostilities that states it ends the war) and shows it entered into force on or before the deadline.
- The effective “entry into force” date controls, even if UNTS posts it later.
- Primary source: UN Treaty Collection/UNTS search.