Republicans win democratically and then end democracy swiftly, satisfying militiants and quelling uprisings; civil war is avoided, but democracy becomes an empty shell and no part of the federal government regains democratic control by 2028
GéopolitiqueOne-Off8a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 94.4%
Prévisionnistes
17
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 54 minutes
En retard5 nov. 22, 15:19 UTC1 janv. 35, 07:00 UTC
Tendances
Règles
This market resolves YES if, in my best judgement, all the things in the headline description happen, and NO otherwise.
- Inspired by a market of @IsaacKing
- https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/republicans-win-democratically-and#mG9EnDICpMM9FJaYfHYV ;
- the only difference is that this market resolves based on my judgement, not @L's.
- In resolving this question I will take words to mean precisely what they say.
- (If you want a sense of what I think words mean, I'm happy to answer questions in the comments.)
