Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleAny WIMPs or Axions not listed in other answers 27.1%En tête parmi 10 options
Prévisionnistes
23
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète17 févr. 25, 01:55 UTC2 janv. 45, 01:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
Which theory will have the strongest experimental support for explaining dark matter by January 1, 2045?
- Resolution based on consensus among peer-reviewed publications in major physics journals and statements from leading research institutions like CERN.
- If multiple answers are correct, then the most specific one will be marked as correct.
- Current theories: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dark_matter
- CERN research: https://home.cern/science/physics/dark-matter
Marchés ouverts
Science
KALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+10.0pt85%
- Before 2030+7.0pt83%
- Before 2029+17.9pt50%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 211 k €
- Volume 24h
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POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 résultats de plus
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt20%
- Before 202812%
- Before 20275%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 28,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 21,3 k €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Volume total
- 1,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 5,2 k €
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2035+4.0pt49%
- Before 2030+18.0pt39%
- Before 2032-9.0pt39%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
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- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
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- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
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- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
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- Natural Disaster in 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Leading dark matter explanation by January 2045 ?
- Manifold Markets cote Any WIMPs or Axions not listed in other answers à 27% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Leading dark matter explanation by January 2045 sera-t-il résolu ?
- Leading dark matter explanation by January 2045 doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2045.
- Comment Leading dark matter explanation by January 2045 est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Which theory will have the strongest experimental support for explaining dark matter by January 1, 2045?