Prévision communautaire actuelle
2026 99.5%En tête parmi 7 options
Prévisionnistes
21
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète7 janv. 24, 23:39 UTC1 janv. 28, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
99.5%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0%
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will NASA's Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope launch in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope be renamed before the end of Trump's second term?
Manifold MarketsWill Euclid space telescope lower my credence in the standard model of cosmology?
Manifold MarketsWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiRègles
The Roman Space Telescope is NASA's next flagship telescope, following JWST and Hubble before it.
- The current launch date is May 2027.
- Resolves to the year in which the Telescope is successfully launched.
- I may add more years later if there are delays.
- Adapted from
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/JacobShapiro/will-nasas-nancy-grace-roman-space)
Marchés ouverts
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 103,1 k €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Volume total
- 57,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 57,4 k €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 résultats de plus
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Volume total
- 817,9 k €
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour In what year will NASA's Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope launch? ?
- Manifold Markets cote 2026 à 100% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand In what year will NASA's Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope launch? sera-t-il résolu ?
- In what year will NASA's Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope launch? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2028.
- Comment In what year will NASA's Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope launch? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : The Roman Space Telescope is NASA's next flagship telescope, following JWST and Hubble before it.