Probabilité implicite actuelle
Anthropic 84.7%+2.0ptEn tête parmi 21 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
74 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
3,4 k €
Liquidité
46,7 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
2.3 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+2.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
21 juil. 26, 00:34 UTC1 oct. 26, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)
Polymarket#2 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)
Polymarket#3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)
PolymarketTop AI model in September?
KalshiWhich AI company will release the most impactful new model before September 30, 2026?
Manifold MarketsSeptember 2026 AI model releases
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
- Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time.
- If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard.
- If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”).
- This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.