Probabilité implicite actuelle
Anthropic 50%-6.0%En tête parmi 32 options
Qualite du marche
52 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
821,3 €
Liquidité
3,1 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
21.0% / 79.0%
Spread
276.2%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
21 juil. 26, 0:3430 sept. 26, 23:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Anthropic50%
Tendance du volume
$93721 juil.2j de données22 juil.
Marchés Associés
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13
24,7 k €August 31: 96%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Which company has best AI model end of August?
18,9 k €Anthropic: 94%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
17,5 k €June 30, 2027: 54%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
What will SpaceX say during their next earnings call?
7,2 k €Data Center: 81%
KALSHI
KALSHI
SpaceX Starship 13th launch?
6,2 k €Before July 24th: 72%KALSHI
KALSHI
When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?
6,2 k €By Dec 31, 2025: 74%
MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
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This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
- Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time.
- If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard.
- If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”).
- This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.