In 2040, will expert consensus suggest there are strong innate psychological differences by biological sex?
One-OffScience14a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 53.1%
Oui 53.1%Prévisionnistes
85
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète15 mars 23, 01:46 UTC1 janv. 41, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will expert consensus suggest there are strong innate psychological differences by biological sex? (Excluding: sex desire)
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PolymarketRègles
In 2040, I will spend some time reviewing the current state of expert discourse regarding innate psychological differences by biological sex.
- This review will consist of light-to-moderate internet reading, browsing studies that have been completed, and requesting the assistance of any personal acquaintances that can best help inform me.
- I will make a subjective judgment regarding the "experts" on this topic as of 2040, which will likely be a list of individuals who I (with the help of light research) consider best-informed in that future period.
- There needs to be expert "consensus" for this market to resolve.
- If there is no consensus, I will update the market close timing to be 5 years in the future.
- I will continue to push out the close date until there is expert consensus.
