In 2030, will there be at least 50,000 people in whatever the Neom project has evolved into by then?
One-OffMiddle EastPolitiqueBusiness & Corporate3aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 61.7%
Prévisionnistes
41
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard2 août 22, 07:36 UTC1 janv. 30, 07:59 UTC
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Based on Scott's article here: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/model-city-monday-8122?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email
Marchés ouverts
Middle EastPOLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 23,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 312,6 k €
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-12.5pt69%
- September 18-14.5pt62%
- September 11-19.5pt49%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+6.1pt59.2%
- Benjamin Netanyahu-3.0pt27.6%
- Naftali Bennett-1.0pt7.1%
POLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+0.3pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.3pt98%
- Yes-0.3pt2%
- Volume total
- 6,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 153,3 k €
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt8%
- September 30+0.4pt2%
- July 310%
+7 résultats de plus
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
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- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
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- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour In 2030, will there be at least 50,000 people in whatever the Neom project has evolved into by then? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 62% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand In 2030, will there be at least 50,000 people in whatever the Neom project has evolved into by then? sera-t-il résolu ?
- In 2030, will there be at least 50,000 people in whatever the Neom project has evolved into by then? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2030.
- Comment In 2030, will there be at least 50,000 people in whatever the Neom project has evolved into by then? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Based on Scott's article here: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/model-city-monday-8122?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email