Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleBefore 2027-02-16 94.5%En tête parmi 7 options
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+44.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète28 oct. 26, 15:52 UTC16 févr. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
GPT 7 (OpenAI) release date
Manifold MarketsWhen will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?
KalshiWill OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?
KalshiWill OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
PolymarketWill OpenAI release a competitor to GitHub in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
The '+' means any version at or above 6.2 counts: if OpenAI skips 6.2 and releases GPT 6.3 or GPT 7, that still counts for the purpose of this market.
- Minor changes to the name, or other names for a model generally expected to be called GPT 6.2, will also count.
- The model must be accessible without individual vetting or invitation — free or paid, via API or product.
- Open, non-selective waitlists count.
- Closed betas, invite-only access, researcher programs, A/B tests, and anonymous benchmark appearances do not.
- Country-level bans do not prevent resolution.