Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleBefore January 2028 89%En tête parmi 13 options
Prévisionnistes
47
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+5.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète5 sept. 26, 16:27 UTC1 janv. 28, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiWhen will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?
KalshiRègles
Minor changes to the name, or other names for a model generally expected to be called GPT 7, will count for the purpose of this market.
- The model must be accessible without individual vetting or invitation — free or paid, via API or product.
- Open, non-selective waitlists count.
- Closed betas, invite-only access, researcher programs, A/B tests, and anonymous benchmark appearances do not.
- Country-level bans do not prevent resolution.
- @ORA9UAlgdI (this market)
